EPL.co.uk free football tips

EUROPEAN  PRO LEAGUE 

EUROPEAN PRO LEAGUE
Free Football Betting Tips 

Professional gamblers consistently make good profits from football betting and at EPL our preferred target games are the English Premier League and the Championship. They are the most consistently reliable, both in terms of available data for analysis and the lack of match-fixing common in other countries and lower leagues. We share our top tip with you every week on this site. 

At EPL we aim to make a consistent profit over the long term, based on statistical analysis. We rarely suggest long odds tips and never back based on on "secret information". This just doesn't exist in UK professional football. We focus on a slow and steady accumulation strategy and only ever lay a small percentage of our available pot. 

Read on for our Tip Of The Week (TOTW) and handy guide to betting on UK football.

 

2024 tips: 
06/01 PLYMOUTH 1.28 WON
13/01 SOUTHAMPTON 1.36 WON
20/01 PORTSMOUTH 1.72 WON
27/01 EVERTON 1.5 LOST
03/02 TOTTENHAM BTTS 1.33 WON
10/02: SOUTHAMPTON 1.28 WON
17/02: LEEDS 1.50 WON 
24/02: IPSWICH 1.50 WON
02/03: LEICESTER 1.36 LOST
10/03: ARSENAL 1.36 WON 
16/03: BARNSLEY 1.75 LOST
03/04: ARSENAL 1.16 WON
05/04: MAN CITY 1.33 WON
13/04:  LIVERPOOL 1.22 LOST
22/04: MIDDLESBOROUGH V LEEDS BTTS: 1.61  WON 
29/04: MAN UTD V BURNLEY@: 1.5 LOST
IPSWICH v HUDDERSFIELD @ 1.25 WON
FULHAM v MAN CITY @ 1.25 WON
CROATIA TOP 5 @ 1.12 WON
17/05 SOUTHAMPTON @ 1.66 WON
17/05 SOUTHAMPTON (FTS) @ 2.0 WON

 
WIN RATE: 16/21 = 74%
LEVEL STAKE PROFIT: 171%

 

TOTW:

SUMMER BREAK - RESTART 17.08.24 
(We will be posting occasional non-football bets in the meantime, but not weekly.)
EUROS: ENGLAND v Serbia 2.00. (SB)
BET NOW

We aim to update our tip weekly by Saturday morning. Please check the TOTW date.

Top 10 Tips

1. Research is Key: Before placing any bets, research teams, players, form, injuries, and historical match-ups. The more informed you are, the better your betting decisions will be and the more you will be able to spot over and under priced opportunities.

2. Understand the Odds: Familiarize yourself with different types of odds (fractional, decimal) and how they represent probabilities. Understanding odds helps you assess potential returns accurately.

3. Manage Your Bankroll: Set a budget for your betting activities and stick to it. Avoid chasing losses by betting more than you can afford or "doubling up" on your next bet. Responsible bankroll management is crucial for long-term success. (And above all, it ensures your gambling remains a safe, enjoyable activity.)

4. Shop Around for the Best Odds: Compare odds from multiple bookmakers to ensure you're getting the best possible value for your bets. Even slight differences in odds can significantly impact your profits over time. You’ll even occasionally come across arbitrage opportunities based on different odds offered, allowing you to back all match outcomes and make a profit either way.  

5. Focus on Specific Markets: Instead of spreading your bets across numerous markets, specialize in a few where you have a deeper understanding. Whether it's match outcomes, goal totals, or individual player stats, specialising can lead to more informed decisions. Develop your knowledge and back yourself when it comes to placing your bets.

6. Consider Value, Not Just Winners: Look for bets where the odds offered by bookmakers underestimate the likelihood of an outcome occurring. Betting on value increases your long-term profitability, even if it means betting against the favourite. This goes hand in hand with your specialist knowledge - the bookies have to cover every market available. You can focus on one or two.

7. Stay Disciplined: Avoid impulsive betting decisions based on emotions or “gut feelings”. Stick to your pre-defined strategies and only place bets when the conditions meet your criteria. This is the most important rule for maintaining your account balance and the difference between professional and amateur gamblers. If a bet loses, just accept it and start the next round afresh. 

8. Keep Your Emotions in Check: Don't let biases cloud your judgment. Assess matches objectively and bet based on probabilities rather than personal preferences. Never back a team just because you're a fan. Challenge yourself to stop and think whenever you want to back ‘your’ team.

9. Utilize Special Offers, free bets and odds boosts. Most bookies include regular odds boost that you can take advantage of. Sites like Bet 365 also offer regular free-to-enter games where you can win bet credits. 

10. Track Your Bets and Learn from Mistakes: Keep a record of your betting activity, including wins, losses, and the reasoning behind each bet. Analysing past performance can help identify strengths, weaknesses, and areas for improvement in your betting strategy. Most online bookies will have a variety of "My Account History" features allowing you to see your wins/losses and net deposits/withdrawals over time.

Remember, patience, research, and discipline are the keys to long-term profitability.

Bonus top tip: If you don’t yet have a betting account, make sure you get a good sign up deal. All the online bookies offer them and most will offer something like "Deposit £10 and get an additional £30 in free bets". These free bets are usually paid in credits (so if your bet wins you only get the profit element back) but it’s great value and will allow you to hone your football betting skills at low risk.

 

Accumulators Explained

Understanding Accumulator Bets in Sports Betting

Accumulator bets, often referred to simply as "accas," are popular among sports bettors for their potential to yield significant returns from relatively small stakes. In essence, accumulator bets involve combining multiple individual selections into a single wager. Here's a breakdown of how accumulator bets work:

Selection of Multiple Bets: To place an accumulator bet, you must first choose two or more individual selections, also known as "legs" or "folds." These selections can be from the same sport or across different sports and events.

Combining Selections: Once you've made your selections, you combine them into a single bet slip. Each selection's odds are multiplied together to calculate the overall odds of the accumulator bet. As a result, the potential returns increase with each additional selection.

Increased Risk and Reward: While accumulator bets offer the potential for higher payouts, they also come with increased risk. In a pure acca, all selections within the accumulator must win for the bet to be successful. If any of the selections lose, the entire accumulator bet is lost. In other variants it’s not necessary for all legs to win but the returns are significantly reduced for each leg that doesn’t win.

Types of Accumulator Bets:

  • Double: A bet consisting of two selections.
  • Treble: A bet consisting of three selections.
  • Trixie: A bet consisting of three selections and four bets (three doubles and one treble).
  • Fourfold: A bet consisting of four selections.
  • Yankee: A bet consisting of four selections and 11 bets (six doubles, four trebles, and one fourfold).
  • Fivefold: A bet consisting of five selections.
  • Canadian: A bet consisting of five selections and 26 bets (10 doubles, 10 trebles, five fourfolds, and one fivefold).
  • Sixfold: A bet consisting of six selections.
  • Heinz: A bet consisting of six selections and 57 bets (15 doubles, 20 trebles, 15 fourfolds, six fivefolds, and one sixfold).
  • Accumulator: A bet consisting of seven or more selections.
  • Super Heinz: A bet consisting of seven selections and 120 bets (21 doubles, 35 trebles, 35 fourfolds, 21 fivefolds, seven sixfolds, and one sevenfold).

Strategies and Considerations:

  • Balancing Risk and Reward: While accumulator bets offer high potential returns, it's essential to assess the likelihood of each selection winning and consider the overall risk-reward ratio.
  • Diversification: Including a mix of favorites, underdogs, and different types of bets can help diversify your accumulator and mitigate risk.
  • Research and Analysis: Thorough research and analysis of each selection, including form, statistics, and team news, can improve the accuracy of your accumulator bets.

Accumulator bets offer an exciting and potentially lucrative way to bet on sports by combining multiple selections into a single wager. However, they come with increased risk, requiring careful consideration of each selection and strategic planning to maximize potential returns while managing risk effectively.

5 Biggest Shocks in Football History

A serious lesson disguised as a bit of fun here. Remember that big shocks do happen in football and fortunes have been won and (more often) lost on them. Here are our top five:

1. Leicester City's Premier League Triumph (2015-2016): Leicester City's remarkable Premier League title win in the 2015-2016 season stands as one of the greatest underdog stories in football history. Starting the season as 5000-1 outsiders for the title, Leicester defied all odds under the management of Claudio Ranieri, stunning the football world by clinching the trophy for the first time in their history.

2. Wimbledon FC Winning the FA Cup (1987-1988): Wimbledon FC's triumph in the 1988 FA Cup final is another iconic upset. Facing the mighty Liverpool, who were the dominant force in English football at the time, Wimbledon, a team from the fourth tier of English football, pulled off a shock 1-0 victory to lift the trophy, in what is still regarded as one of the biggest upsets in FA Cup history.

3. Sutton United's FA Cup Run (2016-2017): In the 2016-2017 FA Cup season, non-league side Sutton United captured the imagination of football fans worldwide with their memorable cup run. Sutton, competing in the fifth tier of English football, defeated several higher-league opponents, including Championship side Leeds United, before eventually being knocked out by Arsenal in the fifth round. Their run showcased the magic and unpredictability of the FA Cup.

4. Bradford City's League Cup Final (2012-2013): Bradford City's journey to the final of the League Cup in the 2012-2013 season was nothing short of astonishing. As a League Two side, Bradford defeated Premier League teams such as Arsenal, Aston Villa, and Wigan Athletic on their way to the final, where they faced Swansea City. Although they were ultimately beaten in the final, Bradford's remarkable cup run remains one of the most memorable in recent history.

5. The Great Escape of Carlisle United (1998-1999): Carlisle United's survival in the Football League during the 1998-1999 season is a story of resilience and defiance against the odds. With just three wins from their first 31 league matches, Carlisle looked destined for relegation from the Football League. However, an incredible turnaround saw them win their final 10 games of the season, securing their Football League status in dramatic fashion on the last day of the campaign, completing what became known as "The Great Escape."

These shocking moments in UK football history serve as reminders of the unpredictability and magic of the beautiful game. 


 

Football Betting Glossary 

BTTS (Both Teams to Score): A popular betting market where customers wager on whether both teams will score at least one goal in the match.

Asian Handicap: A form of betting that handicaps teams based on their form so that the stronger team must win by more goals if the bet is to be won.

Shots on Target (SOT): A statistic used in football betting to determine the number of shots that hit the target, often used in player prop bets or in over/under markets.

Accumulator: A single bet that combines multiple selections into one wager. All selections must win for the bet to be successful.

Double: A type of accumulator bet consisting of two selections.

Treble: A type of accumulator bet consisting of three selections.

Over/Under: A betting market where punters wager on whether the total number of goals, corners, or other events in a match will be over or under a specified number. You will usually see half points (e.g over/under 1.5 goals) meaning that there is always an over/under result.

Correct Score: A betting market where customers predict the exact final score of the match.

Draw No Bet (DNB): A betting market where punters wager on the outcome of the match excluding the possibility of a draw. If the match ends in a draw, the stake is refunded.

Handicap Betting: A form of betting where one team is given a virtual advantage or disadvantage to level the playing field.

Half-Time/Full-Time: A betting market where customers predict the outcome of the match at both half-time and full-time.

First Goalscorer: A betting market where customers predict which player will score the first goal in the match.

Anytime Goalscorer: A betting market where customers predict which player will score a goal at any time during the match.

Clean Sheet: A betting market where customers wager on whether a team will prevent the opposing team from scoring any goals.

Outright Winner: A betting market where customers predict the winner of a league, tournament, or competition.

In-Play Betting: Betting that takes place while the match is in progress, offering dynamic odds that change based on the unfolding events.

Cash Out: An option that allows customers to settle their bet before the conclusion of the event, either to lock in profits or minimize losses. This is one of our favourite features and we will often take an accumulator profit below the maximum to keep the pot ticking up and de-risk.

Banker: A selection considered to be highly likely to win, often used as the foundation of an accumulator bet.

Stake: The amount of money wagered on a bet.

Odds: The numerical representation of the likelihood of an event occurring, used to calculate potential returns.

Fractional Odds: Odds expressed as a fraction, such as 2/1, indicating the potential profit relative to the stake.

Decimal Odds: Odds expressed as a decimal, such as 3.00, indicating the total potential return including the stake.

Bankroll: The total amount of money available for betting.

Over round : The bookmaker's commission or margin included in the odds, ensuring a profit regardless of the outcome.

Understanding these terms will enhance your football betting experience and enable you to make more informed decisions.

Good luck!

Our website is designed to be user-friendly, making it easy for you to navigate, find the information you need, and place your bets. In addition to providing betting information this site acts as a referral affiliate to various bookmaker and betting exchange websites and receives a percentage commission based on amounts wagered. Our tips are given for free and in good faith because we enjoy the sport but we do not accept any liability of any nature in relation to them. Over 18s only. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. When the fun stops, stop. Seek help and self-exclusion from GamStop.  

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